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Friday, August 20, 2004

posted by gbarto at 8:33 AM:
What happens if Kerry appears to be losing?

The major premise of the Kerry primary campaign is that Kerry was that he was electable, that with his gravitas and Vietnam experience he could challenge Bush like no one else.

Right now, the press is shilling like crazy to bury questions about Kerry's gravitas - $250 bucks to catch a plane to go windsurfing? flying hairstylists across the country? - and his Vietnam experience - someone really needs to do a South Park style send-up of Kerry and Mr. Hat go to Cambodia.

Kerry will be given a pass on just about anything, of course, because the media's all important goal is defeating Bush.

But...

The media is taking a hit here. It's very much in the "nothing to see here" mode of the crooked or incompetent cop, and in small numbers, at least, the public is starting to wonder why they're not in on a story that a small subset of the population - journalists and political junkies - seems to know all about.

If the Kerry story gets out - or anything else happens to damage his electability - what will the press corps do? They've been standing by their man, ready to swallow anything to beat Bush. But Hewitt says it's increasingly unlikely that Bush will be beat.

When do the recriminations start? And how painful will it be, if once influential, to have to face the journalists you had told that Kerry was the man to beat Bush. I have a feeling that when we're done, we're going to see the Demos in a strange and painful place that benefits only one major actor in the party: the original draft-doging, truth disemboweling governor from Arkansas will again be the only Demo who knows how to win an election. And Shrum will have two losses with "Vietnam veterans." Wonder what kind of realignment that brings on.
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